Lower Susquehanna Valley Severe Weather and Flooding

Susquehanna Valley Severe Weather and Flooding

Introduction:

This case was marked be several HP supercell thunderstorms over Lebanon and Lancaster Counites, and a line of showers and thunderstorms that moved across Franklin, Adams, and York Counties. As this line reached Lancaster and Lebanon Counties, the line pivoted and produced heavy rains in southern Lebanon and norhtern Lancaster Counties. Radar estimated rainfall was in excess of 5 inches in parts of Lebanon and Lancaster Counties.

Method:

The hard work and ability to anticipate this event led to a good tape RIDDS tape archive and an archive IV CDROM. All data shown here are from the raw archive II data displayed using WATADS.

Results

Around 2000 UTC a broken line of showers and thunderstorms formed in the warm humid air over the lower Susquehanna Valley. This line moved eastward. The first large intense storms developed over Lebanon County arournd 2210 UTC. A cross section revealed one of these large storms over southern Lancaster County around 2239 UTC . Another strong storm developed over Lancaster County around 2257 UTC . And it too was large in the reflectivity cross section . The SRM data revealed weak low level convergence and strong storm top divergence. All images

base reflectivity data

2314 | 2319 | 2324 | 2329 | 2334 |

Storm relative Velocity data

Velocity data


Conclusion:

The radar rainfall estimates seemed reasonable in this case. Storm top divergence in SRM cross sections and low-level convergence appeared to be good indicators of storm strength. Perhaps weak convergence and strong divergence is a useful measure of storm severity over the lower Susquehanna Valley. More similar cases need to be examined before this concept can be applied.